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April/May/June 2013

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China: Still Dominant

Though impacted by the global financial crisis, China retains its status as the world's textile leader.

Sarah Pelot, Associate Editor

T he People's Republic of China - the largest country in East Asia and the most populous in the world - is also the biggest textile-producing, -consuming and -exporting country globally. According to the World Trade Organization's (WTO's) most recent Trade Policy Review of China, as of 2006, approximately 20 million people were employed in the country's textile and apparel industry. Though the global financial crisis has affected its most important industry sector, China is weathering the storm: According to a report published by China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), in July 2009, the textile industry reported year-on-year growth of 8.6 percent.

In April 2008, the China National Textile and Apparel Council, which represents China's textile industry, joined the Switzerland-based International Textile Manufacturers Federation (ITMF) as a member association, and in October 2009 hosted the ITMF Annual Conference in Shanghai. In an interview with Textile World Asia , ITMF Director General Dr. Christian P. Schindler explained why the organization selected Shanghai as the location for the 2009 ITMF Annual Conference: "Shanghai [is] one of the most booming cities in the world, with a huge textile cluster in and around the city. As the world's biggest producer of textiles with the largest domestic market and one of the fastest-growing economies in the world, China is and will be of great importance as a production site and increasingly also as an export market."
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Exports And Imports

China leads the world in exports of both apparel and textiles. According to the WTO's 2008 International Trade Statistics, the country's apparel exports in 2007 were valued at US$115.2 billion, representing a 33.4-percent share in world exports. Of those, US$32 billion were exported to Asia, US$28.4 billion to Europe, US$27.4 billion to North America, US$13.7 billion to the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), and the remainder to the Middle East, Africa, and South and Central America. Its textile exports in 2007 were valued at US$56 billion, representing a 23.5-percent share in world exports. Of those, US$21.4 billion were exported to Asia, US$10.5 billion to Europe, US$9.9 billion to North America, US$4.8 billion to Africa, and the remainder to the Middle East, South and Central America and the CIS.

China exports more textiles to the United States than any other country: According to the US Department of Commerce, International Trade Administration, Office of Textiles and Apparel's Sept. 4, 2009, Major Shippers Report, China accounted for 37.5 percent in terms of dollars and 42.3 percent in square-meter equivalents of total textile and apparel imports into the United States in the year ended in July 2009.

Because China's textile industry is so dependent on exports, it has been significantly impacted by the global economic downturn. The China General Administration of Customs released statistics indicating the country's January-June 2009 textile and apparel exports fell 10.9 percent year-on-year compared to the same period in 2008. Textiles declined 15.2 percent to US$26.9 billion, and apparel dropped 8.5 percent to US$45.9 billion. The administration noted, however, that the decline in textile exports was smaller than that of overall nationwide exports.

The WTO's 2008 International Trade Statistics reported China's apparel imports were valued at US$2 billion, accounting for a 0.6-percent share in world imports; and its textile imports were valued at US$16.64 billion, representing a 6.7-percent share in world imports.

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Textile Machinery

The German Engineering Federation (VDMA) Textile Machinery Association reports that Germany's textile machinery exports to China have declined drastically: In 2007, machinery exports to China were worth approximately 1 million euros; in 2008, the number had decreased to approximately 779 thousand euros; and in the first half of 2009, German exports were worth approximately 279 thousand euros. However, according to VDMA, the Chinese textile industry has recovered gradually from the all-time lows realized in January and February 2009; and since the second quarter of this year, indicators show the textile industry is recovering steadily.

The Association of Italian Textile Machinery Manufacturers (ACIMIT) noted in the 7th edition of "The World's Textile Machinery Industry: An Overview of Trade Flows and Market Shares 2002-2008" that though China's imports of textile machinery declined by 27 percent in 2008 compared to a 9-percent increase in imports in 2007, its exports of textile machinery decreased by only 4 percent in 2008 over 2007 - a much smaller decline than other textile machinery manufacturing countries experienced. ACIMIT predicted in the report that China's textile machinery market may be the first to rebound. Chinese authorities have taken actions to stimulate the textile and apparel sector, which, combined with the modest recovery in China's primary textile export sales markets, may encourage investment in new machinery and products, according to ACIMIT.

ITMF's 2008 International Textile Machinery Shipment Statistics report also noted a marked decline in global textile machinery shipments to China in the past year. Nonetheless, China remained the biggest investor in almost every textile machinery segment. The country installed 43 percent of spinning machinery shipped globally, with its share of open-end rotors reaching 46 percent. It imported an overwhelming 82 percent of single-heater draw-texturing spindles and 38 percent of double-heater draw-texturing spindles. China also was the largest importer of weaving machinery, installing 65 percent of shuttleless looms shipped. It also received 68 percent of the circular knitting machinery shipped and led in electronic flat knitting machine investments, accounting for 44 percent of the machinery shipped.

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Textile Industry Plan

The Chinese government continues to place importance on the textile and apparel sector, taking measures to ensure it remains profitable. In April 2009, the State Council in Beijing approved the Adjustment and Revitalization Plan Of Textile Industry, calling on the industry to stabilize and open up export markets. The plan anticipates textile production will grow steadily from 2009 to 2011, with above-scale industrial enterprises adding 1.2 trillion renminbi in value, representing an average annual growth rate of 10 percent. The plan anticipates total textile exports to total US$240 billion, an 8-percent increase per year on average.

The government emphasized that enterprises need to accelerate replacement of outdated production capacity, particularly in the cotton and wool spinning sectors. It plans to eliminate 7.5 billion meters of high energy- and water-consuming printing and dyeing operations, and 2.3 million tons of outdated chemical fiber production capacity. Other goals include expanding employment; optimizing the industrial structure; promoting urbanization; developing more independent brands; enhancing the independent innovation capacity, technology and equipment, improving product quality; and supporting mergers and acquisitions in order to expedite the textile industry's revitalization.        

Export Tax Rebate Rates

According to China Research & Intelligence's (CRI's) 2009 Research Report of China's Textile Industry, in 2008, the Chinese textile industry's total export value totaled US$64.4 billion - a 16.6-percent increase over 2007 and a 1.5-percent link-relative-ratio decrease. However, this actually signified a decline in the country's export-value growth rate. Declining overseas demand has led to decreased exports, and analysts predict that Chinese apparel exports in 2009 will be 10-percent lower than in 2008. CRI noted in its 2009 Report of Chinese Apparel Industry that the Chinese textile industry's export advantages have decreased also because of rising workforce costs, and raw material and other price inflation. The global financial crisis has further weakened the industry's export competitiveness, and the Chinese government has been increasing export tax rebate rates for textile products to help the industry cope with declining exports.

The Future

According to CRI's 2009 Research Report of China's Textile Industry, industry supply and demand data indicate that domestic demand will begin to play a major part in stimulating the industry's continuing development. China's domestic consumption of textiles appears to be rising: According to the WTO's Trade Policy Review, in 2006, China consumed 75 percent of the textile and apparel sector's output. The NBS reported that retail sales of apparel increased 18.7 percent year-on-year in October 2008, and first-quarter 2009 apparel sales increased 14.3 percent year-on-year. China's response to international trade barriers, increasing environmenal-protection requirements and climbing labor wages are among factors that will play a major role in determining the future of its textile and apparel industry. The country's rapidly developing economy and increasing demand - along with rising export tax rebates and government policies issued to foster the textile industry's growth - should help China ride out the effects of the global economic downturn and return to an upswing.

October/November/December 2009

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中国:全球纺织业的霸主

中华人民共和国是亚洲东部面积最广、人口最多的国家;也是全球最大的纺织品生产、消
耗及外输国。根据世界贸易组织 (WTO) 最新公布的中国贸易政策检讨 (Trade Policy
Review of China),以2006年计,中国的纺织及成衣业约聘有2千万名劳工。虽然这个中国
最重要的行业,难逃全球金融危机的影响,但中国的抵抗力甚为顽强:按中国国家统计局
(NBS)发表的报告,中国纺织业于2009年7月取得8.6%的年增长。

2008年4月,代表全中国纺织业的中国纺织工业协会加入位于瑞士的国际纺织商协会
(ITMF) 为成员组织;并于2009年10月主办 ITMF年会。于早前接受《亚洲纺织世界》访问
时, ITMF 总理 Christian P. Schindler 博士指出协会选址上海举行2009 ITMF 年会的
原因:“上海是全球发展较快的城市之一,市内及周边遍布大规模的纺织活动。中国蔚为全
球最大的纺织品生产国、拥有最强劲的内销市场,也是发展急速的经济体之一。我们预见
中国在生产基地、外销市场方面的影响,将日趋强大。”

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进、出口贸易

中国在成衣业及纺织业方面,均领先全球各地。根据世界贸易组织2008年的国际贸易统
计,中国的成衣外销额,以2007计总值1,152亿美元,占全球外销总额33.4%;其中出口往亚
洲的成衣约值320亿美元、欧洲284亿、北美洲274亿、独联体(CIS) 137亿,余下则输往中
东、非洲、南美及中美洲等地。至于纺织品的出口总值,以2007年计达560亿美元,占全球
外销总额23.5%;其中出口往亚洲的纺织品约值214亿美元、欧洲105亿、北美洲99亿、非
洲48亿 ,余下输往中东、南美及中美洲、独联体等地。

进口美国的纺织品中,以中国为最主要的供应国:按美国商务部国际贸易行政部辖下纺织
品及成衣办公室于2009年9月4日公布的主要输出国报告, 截至2009年7月底的年度内,中
国输往美国的纺织品及成衣品,以金额计占美国总入口量37.5%、以平方米等量计则
占42.3%。

由于中国纺织业相当倚赖外销贸易,故行业深受全球经济衰退影响。按中国海关总署发表
的统计,中国于2009年1月至6月的纺织品及成衣外销数字,较2008年同期下跌10.9%。其中
出口纺织品跌幅15.2%,至269亿美元;出口成衣跌幅8.5%,至459亿美元。不过,海关总署同
时又表示外销纺织业的整体跌幅,较全国整体外销数字的跌幅为低。

此外,世贸发表的2008年国际贸易统计报告指出,中国进口的成衣总值20亿美元,占全球总
成衣进口量 0.6%;至于纺织品的进口总值则为166.4亿美元,占全球总纺织品进口量6.7%。

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纺织设备

德国工程协会 (VDMA)辖下纺织机械商会指出,德国输往中国的纺机设备数量大幅收缩。
德国于2007年外销中国的设备约为100万欧元,总额于2008年下跌至约77.9 万欧元,
以2009年上半年度计则约只为27.9万欧元。然而,VDMA表示中国纺织业已由2009年1月
及2月的谷底逐渐复苏,而各项指标亦显示纺织业已于今年第二季度稳步回升。

意大利纺机制造商协会 (ACIMIT) 则于“全球纺机业发展:2002-2008年贸易流向及市场份
额概览”第七版内指出,虽然中国进口的纺机设备,较之2007年上升9%后,2008年现出27%跌
幅;不过2008年出口的纺机设备,却只较2007年下跌4%──数字远较其它纺机设备生产国为
低。ACIMIT 于上述概览中预测,中国纺机市场将可能率先带领各国走上复苏之路;协会表
示,中国政府积极刺激国内纺织及成衣行业的政策,加上主要纺织品外销市场轻度复苏,将
可鼓励业界再次于新设备及产品发展上投入资源。

ITMF 2008年国际纺机运输统计报告,亦显示全球纺机设备的运输量去年录得显著跌幅。
不过,中国在几乎所有纺机界别中,均为主要的投资国。于全球总设备运输量中,中国购入
的纺纱设备占项目 43%、气流纺加捻杯46%;至于单加热拉伸变形锭子更高达 82%、另双
加热拉伸变形锭子 38%。此外,中国亦是全球最主要的织造设备进口国,入口的无梭织机
占全球总运输量65%、圆型针织机68%、电子横机 44%。

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振兴纺织业  

中国政府将持续重视纺织及成衣业,并制定相关措施以确保行业能保持盈余。于 2009
年4月,位于北京的国务院通过了纺织业振兴计划,呼吁行业致力稳定及开拓外销市场。国
家预料纺织活动将于2009年至2011年间平稳增长,并可录得较多的业内投资,金额约
为1.2万亿人民币,整体年增长可达10%。国务院同时预测中国的纺织品外销总值,将可
达2,400亿美元,平均年增长8%。

政府强调各企业必须加快更换老化设备的步伐,尤其以棉花及羊毛纺纱业为要。政府计划
更换75亿米耗用高量能源及水的生产设备,以及230吨旧型的化学纤维生产器材。至于政
府的其它目标,尚包括扩大招聘率;尽量运用产业结构;促进都市化;发展更多独立品牌以
及加强私人企业的创新力、科技及设备;提高产品素质;以及支持收购、合并等活动,以致
力促进纺织业的复苏。

外销税务优惠

按China Research & Intelligence (CRI’s) 2009年的中国纺织业调查报告,中国纺织业
于2008年的总外销金额约为644亿美元,较2007年上升16.6%,以环比
(link-relative-ratio) 计则下跌1.5%。这数字显示行业的外销增长率有所收缩;而在海
外市场需求下降的局势下,行业的外销量亦有所下降。业内专家预测中国2009年的成衣外
贸额,将较2008年下跌10%。CRI 于2009年中国成衣业调查报告中指出,中国纺织业的外贸
优势,将由于劳工成本上涨、原材料与其它生产价格上扬等因素而逐渐缩小。全球金融风
暴进一步削弱了行业的外贸竞争力,但中国政府透过提高外销纺织品的退税优惠,协助行
业扭转外贸方面的弱势。

前景

CRI 2009年中国纺织业调查报告提供的行业供求数据,反映内需市场将在刺激行业持续增
长方面,担当重要的角色。中国的纺织品内耗力现出上升趋势:据世贸出版的贸易政策检
讨,中国于2006年消耗的国内生产纺织及成衣品,高达75%。国家统计局亦指出,中国的成
衣零售额以2008年10月计按年上升18.7%,另外2009年首季的成衣销售额则按年增长
14.3%。

中国对国际贸易壁垒的回应、不断提升的环保要求、持续上涨的劳力薪资等,均为决定中
国纺织及成衣业未来发展的重要因素。国家经济急速发展、内需不断上升,加上中国提高
外销退税优惠、以积极措施促进纺织业的发展等有利形势,应可协助中国纺织业抵御全球
金融风暴的风力,回复增长势头。

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